World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Jun 6, 2024 11.45am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Shahid Ahsan Ullah Master Stadium (Tongi)
  • Rimon Hossain 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ajdin Hrustic 29'
  • goal Kusini Yengi 62'

Bangladesh vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bangladesh

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Mar 26, 2024 9.30am
Bangladesh 0 - 1 Palestine

Australia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Mar 26, 2024 8.45am
Lebanon 0 - 5 Australia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result

Bangladesh 21.04% (-0.90)
Draw 25.3% (+0.34)
Australia 53.66% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.46% (-2.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.51% (-2.16)
Under 2.5 55.49% (+2.16)
Over 3.5 23.32% (-1.80)
Under 3.5 76.68% (+1.80)
Over 4.5 10.31% (-1.13)
Under 4.5 89.69% (+1.13)

Bangladesh Goals

Over 0.5 58.59% (-2.15)
Under 0.5 41.41% (+2.15)
Over 1.5 22.08% (-1.95)
Under 1.5 77.92% (+1.95)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 79.3% (-0.64)
Under 0.5 20.7% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 46.7% (-1.01)
Under 1.5 53.3% (+1.01)

Score analysis

Bangladesh 21.04%
Draw 25.3%
Australia 53.65%
Bangladesh
1-0 @ 7.56% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 5.25% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 1.54% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.17)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.57% (+0.70)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.31)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.3%
Australia
0-1 @ 13.5% (+0.85)
0-2 @ 10.63% (+0.48)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 5.58% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.17)
0-4 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.21)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 53.65%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Nov 16, 2023 9.10am
7
0
HT : 4 0
FT ANZ Stadium
  • Harry Souttar 4' goal
  • Brandon Borrello 20' goal
  • Mitchell Duke 37' goal
  • Mitchell Duke 40' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 49' goal
  • Keanu Baccus 55' yellowcard
  • Jamie MacLaren 70' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 84' goal
  • yellowcard Rakib Hossain 14'
  • yellowcard Hasan Murad 51'
  • yellowcard Saad Uddin 73'