Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.