Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.