Asian Cup
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
  • Elkan Baggott 12' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 15' yellowcard
  • Martin Boyle 45' goal
  • Gethin Jones 65' yellowcard
  • Craig Goodwin 89' goal
  • Harry Souttar 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Asnawi Mangkualam 35'
  • yellowcard Sandy Walsh 68'
  • yellowcard Jordi Amat 90'
  • yellowcard Rafael Struick 90'+4'

Australia vs Indonesia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Indonesia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result

Australia 62.99%
Draw 20.72%
Indonesia 16.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.29%
Under 2.5 43.71%
Over 3.5 33.9%
Under 3.5 66.1%
Over 4.5 17.45%
Under 4.5 82.55%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 86.75%
Under 0.5 13.25%
Over 1.5 59.96%
Under 1.5 40.04%

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5 60.05%
Under 0.5 39.95%
Over 1.5 23.4%
Under 1.5 76.6%

Score analysis

Australia 62.98%
Draw 20.72%
Indonesia 16.29%
Australia
2-0 @ 10.81%
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 6.68%
4-0 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-2 @ 1.55%
5-0 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 62.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82%
0-0 @ 5.29%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 20.72%
Indonesia
0-1 @ 4.86%
1-2 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.29%