Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 13, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium

Australia
2 - 0
India

Irvine (50'), Bos (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pratap Singh (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between Australia and India, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 0-2 Australia
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	0	0	0
2	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
3	Syria	0	0	0
4	India	0	0	0

India

All competitions

Last Game: India 0-3 Qatar
Tuesday, November 21 at 1.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	0	0	0
2	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
3	Syria	0	0	0
4	India	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for India had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a India win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Australia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Australia.

Result
Australia	Draw	India
61.56% ( -0.19)	21.97% ( 0.1)	16.46% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 48.46% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.24% (

-0.26)

48.75% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.14% (

-0.24)

70.86% (

0.24)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.67% (

-0.15)

15.33% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.92% (

-0.28)

44.07% (

0.28)

India Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.23% (

-0.05)

42.76% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.91% (

-0.04)

79.09% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Australia 61.55%

India 16.46%

Draw 21.97%

Australia	Draw	India
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 61.55%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.97%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 16.46%