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Australia national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 23, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Janoub Stadium
Uzbekistan national football team

Australia
1 - 1
Uzbekistan

(11'), Boyle (45+1' pen.)
Souttar (50'), McGree (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Turgunboev (78')
Eshmuradov (25'), Khamrobekov (44'), Shukurov (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Australia and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Syria 0-1 Australia
Thursday, January 18 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Uzbekistan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: India 0-3 Uzbekistan
Thursday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AustraliaDrawUzbekistan
42.91% (-2.197 -2.2)27.2% (0.57 0.57)29.89% (1.623 1.62)
Both teams to score 48.76% (-0.77999999999999 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.61% (-1.428 -1.43)56.39% (1.425 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59% (-1.168 -1.17)77.4% (1.164 1.16)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-1.744 -1.74)26.02% (1.74 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-2.407 -2.41)61.05% (2.404 2.4)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (0.485 0.48)34.1% (-0.48800000000001 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (0.519 0.52)70.78% (-0.523 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Australia 42.91%
    Uzbekistan 29.89%
    Draw 27.2%
AustraliaDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.372 -0.37)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.475 0.48)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.631 0.63)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.402 0.4)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.167 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.89%

How you voted: Australia vs Uzbekistan

Australia
74.5%
Draw
17.6%
Uzbekistan
7.8%
51
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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