Asian Cup
Jan 18, 2024 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium
  • goal Abbosbek Fayzullayev 4'
  • goal Igor Sergeev 18'
  • goal Sherzod Nasrullayev 45'+4'

India vs Uzbekistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

India

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 11.30am
Australia 2 - 0 India

Uzbekistan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Syria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for India had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a India win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result

India 23.13% (-0.35)
Draw 25.8% (+0.22)
Uzbekistan 51.08% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.58% (-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.68% (-1.09)
Under 2.5 55.33% (+1.10)
Over 3.5 23.46% (-0.91)
Under 3.5 76.54% (+0.92)
Over 4.5 10.4% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 89.6% (+0.57)

India Goals

Over 0.5 60.77% (-0.94)
Under 0.5 39.23% (+0.95)
Over 1.5 24.06% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 75.94% (+0.90)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5 78.3% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 21.71% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 45.14% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 54.87% (+0.61)

Score analysis

India 23.13%
Draw 25.79%
Uzbekistan 51.08%
India
1-0 @ 7.97% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 5.7% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.52% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.79%
Uzbekistan
0-1 @ 13% (+0.40)
0-2 @ 9.94% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 5.06% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.08%