Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for India had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a India win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.