Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Quarter-Finals

Feb 2, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Al Janoub Stadium

Australia
1 - 2
South Korea

Goodwin (42')
Souttar (45+1')

FT
(aet)

Hee-chan (90+6' pen.), Heung-min (104')
Min-jae (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Asian Cup clash between Australia and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Australia 4-0 Indonesia
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

South Korea

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 South Korea (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 30 at 4pm in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest South Korea win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%).

Result
Australia	Draw	South Korea
38.95% ( -0.02)	28.37% ( 0.01)	32.68% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.35% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.12% (

-0.02)

59.88% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.86% (

-0.01)

80.14% (

0.02)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

-0.02)

29.87% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04% (

-0.02)

65.96% (

0.02)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09% (

-0)

33.91% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42% (

-0)

70.58% (

Score Analysis

Australia 38.94%

South Korea 32.67%

Draw 28.36%

Australia	Draw	South Korea
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.36%	0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.67%