Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Round of 16

Jan 30, 2024 at 4pm UK

Education City Stadium

Saudi Arabia
1 - 1
South Korea

Radif (46')
Mancini (50'), Al-Kassar (90+5'), Al Muwallad (113'), Al Burayk (120+1')

FT
(aet)

Kyu-Sung (90+9')
Young-gwon (49'), Kang-in (114')

South Korea win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Saudi Arabia and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Thailand
Thursday, January 25 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

South Korea

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: South Korea 3-3 Malaysia
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 44.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (9.83%).

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	South Korea
27.62% ( -0.03)	27.87% ( 0.25)	44.51% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 45.65% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.26% (

-0.88)

59.73% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.96% (

-0.68)

80.04% (

0.68)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.31% (

-0.51)

37.69% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.54% (

-0.5)

74.46% (

0.51)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26% (

-0.52)

26.73% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

-0.69)

62% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 27.62%

South Korea 44.51%

Draw 27.86%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	South Korea
1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.69% Total : 27.62%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 44.51%