Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 25, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Al Janoub Stadium

South Korea
3 - 3
Malaysia

Woo-yeong (21'), Kang-in (83'), Heung-min (90+4' pen.)
Jae-sung (19')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Halim (51'), Aiman (62' pen.), Morales (90+15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between South Korea and Malaysia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Jordan 2-2 South Korea
Saturday, January 20 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jordan	2	4	4
2	South Korea	2	2	4
3	Bahrain	2	-1	3
4	Malaysia	2	-5	0

Malaysia

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Malaysia
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jordan	2	4	4
2	South Korea	2	2	4
3	Bahrain	2	-1	3
4	Malaysia	2	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Malaysia had a probability of 11.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Malaysia win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
South Korea	Draw	Malaysia
70.09% ( 0.13)	18.42% ( -0.04)	11.49% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 46.61% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.82% (

-0.1)

44.18% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.44% (

-0.1)

66.56% (

0.1)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.6% (

0.01)

11.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.84% (

0.01)

36.16% (

-0.01)

Malaysia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.6% (

-0.24)

47.39% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.22% (

-0.18)

82.78% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

South Korea 70.07%

Malaysia 11.49%

Draw 18.42%

South Korea	Draw	Malaysia
2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 70.07%	1-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.42%	0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 11.49%