Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 11.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.11%) and 0-3 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Saudi Arabia in this match.