Asian Cup
Jan 21, 2024 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
  • Aizar Akmatov 9' redcard
  • Christian Brauzman 22' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Mischenko 42' yellowcard
  • Kimi Merk 52' redcard
  • goal Mohammed Kanoo 35'
  • yellowcard Saleh Al-Shehri 63'
  • goal Faisal Al-Ghamdi 84'

Kyrgyzstan vs Saudi Arabia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 16, 2024 2.30pm
Thailand 2 - 0 Kyrgyzstan

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 16, 2024 5.30pm
Saudi Arabia 2 - 1 Oman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 11.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.11%) and 0-3 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Saudi Arabia in this match.

Result

Kyrgyzstan 11.02% (-0.02)
Draw 18.98% (-0.02)
Saudi Arabia 70.01% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.29% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.21% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 47.79% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 30.03% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 69.98%
Over 4.5 14.69% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.31% (+0.01)

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5 49.45% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 50.55% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 14.97% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 85.04% (+0.03)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 87.54% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 12.46% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 61.59% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 38.41% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Kyrgyzstan 11.02%
Draw 18.98%
Saudi Arabia 70%
Kyrgyzstan
1-0 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 11.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.98%
Saudi Arabia
0-2 @ 13.66% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 13.11%
0-3 @ 9.48% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.47%
0-4 @ 4.94% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.37% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 2.06% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 70%