Saudi Arabia national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Oman national football team

Saudi Arabia
2 - 1
Oman

Ghareeb (78'), Albulayhi (90+6')
Tambakti (13')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al-Yahyaei (14' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Saudi Arabia and Oman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Hong Kong
Wednesday, January 10 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: UAE 0-1 Oman
Saturday, January 6 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Oman had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Oman win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawOman
40.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)29.84% (0.058 0.06)29.8% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 41.62% (-0.164 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.73% (-0.193 -0.19)65.27% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.92% (-0.134 -0.13)84.08% (0.133 0.13)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-0.104 -0.1)31.75% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-0.118 -0.12)68.18% (0.11699999999999 0.12)
Oman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (-0.15 -0.15)39.01% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (-0.143 -0.14)75.73% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 40.36%
    Oman 29.8%
    Draw 29.83%
Saudi ArabiaDrawOman
1-0 @ 14.21% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 40.36%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 12.38% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.83%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 29.8%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Oman

Saudi Arabia
68.5%
Draw
19.2%
Oman
12.3%
73
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2022 5.15pm
Third Round
Saudi Arabia
1-0
Oman

Al Alawi (22')
Sep 7, 2021 5pm
Third Round
Oman
0-1
Saudi Arabia
Al-Shehri (42')
Al-Malki (58')
rhs 2.0


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