Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestine win with a probability of 35.46%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestine win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palestine in this match.