Asian Cup
Jan 23, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Abdullah Al-Khalifa Stadium
  • Tan Chun Lok 76' yellowcard
  • Matt Orr 86' yellowcard
  • goal Oday Dabbagh 12'
  • goal Zaid Qunbar 48'
  • goal Oday Dabbagh 60'

Hong Kong vs Palestine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hong Kong

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 19, 2024 5.30pm
Hong Kong 0 - 1 Iran

Palestine

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 18, 2024 5.30pm
Palestine 1 - 1 UAE

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Palestine win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palestine would win this match.

Result

Hong Kong 45.86% ▼ (-0.26)
Draw 26.32% ▲ (+0.10)
Palestine 27.82% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.16% ▼ (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.98% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 54.02% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 24.55% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 75.45% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 4.5 11.07% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 88.93% ▲ (+0.14)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 76.5% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 23.5% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 42.46% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 1.5 57.54% ▲ (+0.35)

Palestine Goals

Over 0.5 65.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hong Kong 45.86%
Draw 26.32%
Palestine 27.82%
Hong Kong
1-0 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.32%
Palestine
0-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 27.82%