Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Palestine win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palestine would win this match.

Result
Hong Kong	Draw	Palestine
45.86% ( -0.26)	26.32% ( 0.09)	27.82% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 50.16% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.98% (

-0.26)

54.02% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55% (

-0.22)

75.45% (

0.22)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5% (

-0.23)

23.5% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.46% (

-0.34)

57.54% (

0.34)

Palestine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57% (

-0.01)

34.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.85% (

-0.01)

71.15% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Hong Kong 45.86%

Palestine 27.82%

Draw 26.32%

Hong Kong	Draw	Palestine
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.86%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.82%