Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.