Asian Cup
Jan 22, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium
  • Hassan Al Heidos 66' goal
  • Bassam Al-Rawi 70' yellowcard
  • Khalid Muneer 80' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Alganehi 88' yellowcard

Qatar vs China - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 17, 2024 2.30pm
Tajikistan 0 - 1 Qatar

China

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last game
Jan 17, 2024 11.30am
Lebanon 0 - 0 China

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for China had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Qatar in this match.

Result

Qatar 50.39% (-0.01)
Draw 25.05% (+0.01)
China 24.55% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.23% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.72% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 51.27% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26.89% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 73.1% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 12.58% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.42% (+0.01)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5 79.64% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.35% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.24% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.75% (+0.01)

China Goals

Over 0.5 64.33% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.67% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.56% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.44%

Score analysis

Qatar 50.39%
Draw 25.05%
China 24.55%
Qatar
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.26% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.05%
China
0-1 @ 7.48% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 24.55%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 7, 2018 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Khalifa International Stadium (ad-Dōha (Doha))
  • Almoez Ali 25' goal
  • Tarek Salman 30' yellowcard
  • Boualem Khoukhi 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zhang Linpeng 45'