World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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Daniel Lajud
46'
-
Ali Tneich
51'
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Khalil Khamis
66'
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Kusini Yengi
2'
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Mitchell Duke
12'
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Bassel Jradi
47'
(OG)
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Craig Goodwin
48'
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John Iredale
68'
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Craig Goodwin
81'
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Sam Silvera
90'+5'
Lebanon vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
Result
Lebanon
21.7%
▼
(-0.52)
Draw
25.96%
▼
(-0.38)
Australia
52.33%
▲
(+0.89)
Both Teams to Score:
45.5%
▲
(+0.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.8%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 2.5
57.2%
▼
(-0.84)
Over 3.5
21.94%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 3.5
78.06%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 4.5
9.48%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 4.5
90.52%
▼
(-0.40)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5
58.29%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
41.71%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
21.82%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
78.18%
▲
(+0.04)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5
78.05%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 0.5
21.94%
▼
(-0.74)
Over 1.5
44.77%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 1.5
55.23%
▼
(-1.10)
Score analysis
Lebanon
21.7%
Draw
25.95%
Australia
52.33%
Lebanon
1-0
@
8%
▼
(-0.27)
2-1 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.7%
2-1 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.7%
Draw
1-1
@
12.13%
▼
(-0.14)
0-0 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.95%
0-0 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.95%
Australia
0-1
@
13.88%
▼
(-0.13)
0-2 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.12)
1-2 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 52.33%
0-2 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.12)
1-2 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 52.33%