World Cup header WWW

World Cup

Lebanon national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Saida International Stadium
Australia national football team

Lebanon
0 - 5
Australia


Lajud (46'), Tneich (51'), Khamis (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yengi (2'), Jradi (47' og.), Goodwin (48', 81'), Iredale (68')
Duke (12'), Silvera (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Lebanon and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Australia 2-0 Lebanon
Thursday, March 21 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Australia 2-0 Lebanon
Thursday, March 21 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
LebanonDrawAustralia
21.7% (-0.511 -0.51)25.96% (-0.372 -0.37)52.33% (0.884 0.88)
Both teams to score 45.5% (0.396 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.8% (0.83799999999999 0.84)57.2% (-0.834 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.94% (0.662 0.66)78.06% (-0.661 -0.66)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.29% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)41.71% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)78.18% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (0.735 0.73)21.94% (-0.734 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (1.101 1.1)55.23% (-1.098 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Lebanon 21.7%
    Australia 52.33%
    Draw 25.95%
LebanonDrawAustralia
1-0 @ 8% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-1 @ 5.31% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.7%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 9.15% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 13.88% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 10.52% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.21% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.32% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 52.33%

How you voted: Lebanon vs Australia

Lebanon
16.1%
Draw
9.7%
Australia
74.2%
31
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 9.10am
Second Round
Australia
2-0
Lebanon
Baccus (5'), Rowles (54')
Atkinson (61'), Baccus (78')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2018 8.30am
International Friendlies
Australia
3-0
Lebanon
Boyle (19', 41'), Leckie (68')
Sainsbury (82')

Jradi (70')