World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 26, 2024 at 8.45am UK

Saida International Stadium

Lebanon
0 - 5
Australia

Lajud (46'), Tneich (51'), Khamis (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yengi (2'), Jradi (47' og.), Goodwin (48', 81'), Iredale (68')
Duke (12'), Silvera (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Lebanon and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Australia 2-0 Lebanon
Thursday, March 21 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Australia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Australia 2-0 Lebanon
Thursday, March 21 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
Lebanon	Draw	Australia
21.7% ( -0.51)	25.96% ( -0.37)	52.33% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 45.5% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.8% (

0.84)

57.2% (

-0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.94% (

0.66)

78.06% (

-0.66)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.29% (

-0.04)

41.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.82% (

-0.03)

78.18% (

0.03)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.05% (

0.73)

21.94% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.77% (

1.1)

55.23% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Lebanon 21.7%

Australia 52.33%

Draw 25.95%

Lebanon	Draw	Australia
1-0 @ 8% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.7%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 13.88% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 10.52% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.93% Total : 52.33%