World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 9.10am UK

ANZ Stadium

Australia
2 - 0
Lebanon

Baccus (5'), Rowles (54')
Atkinson (61'), Baccus (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Australia 1-2 South Korea
Friday, February 2 at 3.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Lebanon

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tajikistan 2-1 Lebanon
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	Lebanon
49.75% ( -0)	27.1% ( 0)	23.16% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.13% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.15% (

-0)

59.85% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.88% (

-0)

80.12% (

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

-0)

24.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43% (

-0)

58.57% (

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.24% (

-0)

41.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.77% (

-0)

78.23% (

Score Analysis

Australia 49.74%

Lebanon 23.16%

Draw 27.08%

Australia	Draw	Lebanon
1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.74%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.16% Total : 23.16%