World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 21, 2024 9.10am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT ANZ Stadium
  • Keanu Baccus 5' goal
  • Kye Rowles 54' goal
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 61' yellowcard
  • Keanu Baccus 78' yellowcard

Australia vs Lebanon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 2.00pm
Palestine 0 - 1 Australia

Lebanon

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 11.45am
Bangladesh 1 - 1 Lebanon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result

Australia 49.75% (-0.01)
Draw 27.1% (+0.01)
Lebanon 23.16% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.13% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.15% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 59.85% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 19.88% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 80.12% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 8.27% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.73%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 75.77% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.23%
Over 1.5 41.43% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.57% (+0.01)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5 58.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 41.76% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.77% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.23% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Australia 49.74%
Draw 27.08%
Lebanon 23.16%
Australia
1-0 @ 14.34%
2-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 49.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.08%
Lebanon
0-1 @ 8.83%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13%
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 23.16%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2018 8.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT ANZ Stadium (Sydney)
  • Martin Boyle 19' goal
  • Martin Boyle 41' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 68' goal
  • Trent Sainsbury 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bassel Jradi 70'