World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 9.10am UK

ANZ Stadium

Australia
2 - 0
Lebanon

Baccus (5'), Rowles (54')
Atkinson (61'), Baccus (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Australia 1-2 South Korea
Friday, February 2 at 3.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Lebanon

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tajikistan 2-1 Lebanon
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	Lebanon
49.75% ( -0)	27.1% ( 0)	23.16% ( -0)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Australia	Draw	Lebanon
1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.74%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.16% Total : 23.16%