World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 26, 2024 8.00am
Kim Il Sung Stadium

North Korea vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

North Korea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Mar 21, 2024 10.23am
Japan 1 - 0 North Korea

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Mar 21, 2024 10.23am
Japan 1 - 0 North Korea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 83.78%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 5.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.76%) and 0-4 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a North Korea win it was 1-0 (1.75%).

Result

North Korea 5.28% (+0.07)
Draw 10.95% (+0.14)
Japan 83.78% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.04% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.87% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 30.13% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 48.65% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 51.35% (+0.52)
Over 4.5 29.51% (-0.47)
Under 4.5 70.49% (+0.47)

North Korea Goals

Over 0.5 47.49% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 52.51% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 13.67% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 86.33% (+0.08)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 94.84% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 5.16% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 79.54% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 20.46% (+0.34)

Score analysis

North Korea 5.28%
Draw 10.95%
Japan 83.77%
North Korea
1-0 @ 1.75% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 5.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.18% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 2.71% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 10.95%
Japan
0-2 @ 11.9% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 11.76% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 8.72% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 8.03% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 7.58% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 5.62% (-0.05)
0-5 @ 5.17% (-0.07)
1-5 @ 3.33% (-0.06)
0-6 @ 2.55% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.03)
1-6 @ 1.64% (-0.04)
0-7 @ 1.08% (-0.04)
2-5 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 83.77%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 21, 2024 10.23am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT National Olympic Stadium
  • Ao Tanaka 2' goal
  • Hiroki Ito 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jang Kuk-Chol 20'
  • yellowcard Il-Song Ri 73'
  • yellowcard Kuk-Chol Kang II 75'