World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 1.10pm UK

Thuwanna YTC Stadium

Myanmar
0 - 5
Japan

Aung Wai (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nakamura (17', 90+3'), Doan (34'), Ogawa (75', 83')
Maeda (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Myanmar and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Myanmar

Last Game: Syria 7-0 Myanmar
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Japan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Japan 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, March 21 at 10.23am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 85.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Myanmar had a probability of 4.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 0-4 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Myanmar win it was 2-1 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Myanmar	Draw	Japan
4.69% ( 0.67)	9.71% ( 0.67)	85.59% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

2.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.85% (

0.21)

26.15% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.59% (

0.27)

46.41% (

-0.27)

Myanmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.68% (

2.95)

51.32% (

-2.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.44% (

1.89)

85.56% (

-1.88)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.84% (

-0.17)

4.16% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.61% (

-0.55)

17.39% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Myanmar 4.69%

Japan 85.59%

Draw 9.71%

Myanmar	Draw	Japan
2-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.76% Total : 4.69%	1-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.65% Total : 9.71%	0-3 @ 11.44% ( -0.62) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 9.09% ( -0.63) 1-3 @ 7.63% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 6.07% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 5.78% ( -0.48) 1-5 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 3.06% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.29) 1-6 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.21) 0-7 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) 2-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.12) 1-7 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 85.59%