World Cup Qualifying - Asia
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fjaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fchilog_2.png)
-
Wataru Endo
12'
-
Kaoru Mitoma
45'+2'
-
Takumi Minamino
52'
-
Takumi Minamino
58'
-
Junya Ito
77'
-
Daizen Maeda
87'
-
Takefusa Kubo
90'+5'
-
Zexiang Yang
18'
-
Yuning Zhang
39'
-
Alan Carvalho
70'
Japan vs China - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fhajime-moriyasu.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 67.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for China had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result
Japan
67.79%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
18.62%
▲
(+0.08)
China
13.59%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
52.48%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.21%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 2.5
39.78%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
37.86%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
62.14%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 4.5
20.45%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
79.55%
▲
(+0.17)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
89.23%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
10.77%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
65.23%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
34.77%
▲
(+0.21)
China Goals
Over 0.5
58.81%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
41.18%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
22.28%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
77.72%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Japan
67.79%
Draw
18.62%
China
13.59%
Japan
2-0
@
11.01%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.79%
1-0 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.79%
Draw
1-1
@
8.77%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 18.62%
0-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 18.62%
China
0-1
@
3.94%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 13.59%
1-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 13.59%