Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Singapore had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Singapore win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China would win this match.