World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2024 at 12pm UK

Seoul World Cup Stadium

South Korea
1 - 0
China

Kang-in (61')
Woo-young (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wenneng (45+2'), Xu (54'), Hao (80'), Yang (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Singapore 0-7 South Korea
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

China

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: China 1-1 Thailand
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for China had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
South Korea	Draw	China
66.96% ( -0.17)	19.6% ( -0)	13.44% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4% (

0.41)

44.6% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03% (

0.39)

66.97% (

-0.39)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.62% (

0.07)

12.38% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.75% (

0.15)

38.25% (

-0.15)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.55% (

0.52)

44.45% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.51% (

0.42)

80.49% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

South Korea 66.94%

China 13.44%

Draw 19.6%

South Korea	Draw	China
2-0 @ 12% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 66.94%	1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 19.6%	0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.44%