World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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-
Jung Woo-young
31'
-
Lee Kang-in
61'
-
Xie Wenneng
45'+2'
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Haoyang Xu
54'
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Fang Hao
80'
-
Zexiang Yang
90'+5'
South Korea vs China - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for China had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
Result
South Korea
66.96%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
19.6%
▼
(-0.01)
China
13.44%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
48.67%
▲
(+0.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.4%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 2.5
44.6%
▼
(-0.41)
Over 3.5
33.03%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 3.5
66.97%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 4.5
16.82%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 4.5
83.18%
▼
(-0.29)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5
87.62%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
12.38%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
61.75%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
38.25%
▼
(-0.16)
China Goals
Over 0.5
55.55%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 0.5
44.45%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 1.5
19.51%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 1.5
80.49%
▼
(-0.42)
Score analysis
South Korea
66.94%
Draw
19.6%
China
13.44%
South Korea
2-0
@
12%
▼
(-0.16)
1-0 @ 11.49% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 66.94%
1-0 @ 11.49% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 66.94%
Draw
1-1
@
9.32%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 19.6%
0-0 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 19.6%
China
0-1
@
4.46%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-98.18)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 13.44%
1-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-98.18)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 13.44%
Head to Head
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
-
Shenglong Jiang
45'+2'
-
Wu Lei
67'
-
Nico Yennaris
85'
-
Chenjie Zhu
86'
-
Son Heung-min
11'
-
Son Heung-min
45'
-
Park Yong-woo
74'
-
Seung-Hyun Jung
87'