World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 11am UK

Seoul World Cup Stadium

South Korea
1 - 1
Thailand

Heung-min (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mueanta (61')
Thongsong (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and Thailand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Jordan 2-0 South Korea
Tuesday, February 6 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Thailand

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 75.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Thailand win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
South Korea	Draw	Thailand
75.69% ( 0.61)	14.83% ( -0.18)	9.48% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.12% (

-0.53)

32.88% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.42% (

-0.62)

54.58% (

0.62)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.77%

7.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.77% (

26.24% (

-0)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.45% (

-1.23)

43.55% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.25% (

-1.04)

79.75% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

South Korea 75.68%

Thailand 9.48%

Draw 14.83%

South Korea	Draw	Thailand
2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 75.68%	1-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.83%	1-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.87% Total : 9.48%