World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 21, 2024 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Seoul World Cup Stadium
  • Son Heung-min 42' goal
  • yellowcard Suphan Thongsong 11'
  • goal Suphanat Mueanta 61'

South Korea vs Thailand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 12.00pm
China 0 - 3 South Korea

Thailand

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 12.00pm
Singapore 1 - 3 Thailand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 75.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Thailand win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

South Korea 75.69% (+0.61)
Draw 14.83% (-0.18)
Thailand 9.48% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37% (-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.12% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 32.88% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 45.42% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 54.58% (+0.62)
Over 4.5 26.66% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 73.35% (+0.54)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5 92.77%
Under 0.5 7.23%
Over 1.5 73.77% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 26.24% (-0.01)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5 56.45% (-1.23)
Under 0.5 43.55% (+1.23)
Over 1.5 20.25% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 79.75% (+1.04)

Score analysis

South Korea 75.68%
Draw 14.83%
Thailand 9.48%
South Korea
2-0 @ 10.86% (+0.30)
3-0 @ 9.51% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.28% (+0.24)
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 6.25% (+0.18)
4-1 @ 5.19% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.13)
5-0 @ 3.28% (+0.10)
5-1 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.09)
6-0 @ 1.44% (+0.05)
6-1 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 75.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.88% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.15% (+0.09)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 14.83%
Thailand
1-2 @ 2.86% (-0.12)
0-1 @ 2.62% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.48%