World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 1pm UK

Shenyang Olympic Sports Center Stadium

China
1 - 1
Thailand

Zhang (79')
Wang (8'), Baihelamu (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sarachart (20')
Bureerat (11'), Pomphan (53'), Khammai (75')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between China and Thailand.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: China 4-1 Singapore
Tuesday, March 26 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Thailand

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Thailand 0-3 South Korea
Tuesday, March 26 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for China had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest China win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
China	Draw	Thailand
35.81% ( -2.69)	26.27% ( 0.27)	37.91% ( 2.42)

Both teams to score 53.27% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.62% (

-1.15)

51.38% (

1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.8% (

-1.01)

73.19% (

1.01)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

-2.07)

27.62% (

2.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84% (

-2.75)

63.15% (

2.75)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.59% (

0.85)

26.4% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

1.13)

61.56% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

China 35.81%

Thailand 37.91%

Draw 26.27%

China	Draw	Thailand
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.81%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.58) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.91%