World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 26, 2024 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Chonburi Stadium (Chonburi)
  • Pansa Hemviboon 59' yellowcard
  • Nicholas Mickelson 76' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 19'
  • yellowcard Cho Kyu-Sung 41'
  • goal Son Heung-min 54'
  • goal Jin-Sub Park 82'

Thailand vs South Korea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Thailand

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Mar 21, 2024 11.00am
South Korea 1 - 1 Thailand

South Korea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Mar 21, 2024 11.00am
South Korea 1 - 1 Thailand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Thailand win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result

Thailand 23.67% (-0.31)
Draw 22.85% (-0.08)
South Korea 53.48% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.36% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.3% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 42.7% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.9% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 65.1% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 18.19% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.81% (-0.01)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5 68.25% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 31.75% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 31.82% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 68.18% (+0.30)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5 84.05% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 15.95% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 54.77% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 45.22% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Thailand 23.67%
Draw 22.84%
South Korea 53.48%
Thailand
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 5.81% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 23.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.84%
South Korea
1-2 @ 9.79% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 9.3% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 8.53% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.99% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.22% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.4% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.58% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-98.39)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 53.48%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 21, 2024 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Seoul World Cup Stadium
  • Son Heung-min 42' goal
  • yellowcard Suphan Thongsong 11'
  • goal Suphanat Mueanta 61'