World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Chonburi Stadium (Chonburi)

Thailand
0 - 3
South Korea

Hemviboon (59'), Mickelson (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jae-sung (19'), Heung-min (54'), Park (82')
Kyu-Sung (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Thailand and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Thailand

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Korea 1-1 Thailand
Thursday, March 21 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

South Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Korea 1-1 Thailand
Thursday, March 21 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Thailand win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
Thailand	Draw	South Korea
23.67% ( -0.3)	22.85% ( -0.07)	53.48% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.3% (

0.01)

42.7% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.9% (

0.01)

65.1% (

-0.01)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

-0.25)

31.75% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

-0.29)

68.18% (

0.29)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05% (

0.13)

15.95% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.77% (

0.25)

45.22% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Thailand 23.67%

South Korea 53.48%

Draw 22.84%

Thailand	Draw	South Korea
2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 23.67%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.84%	1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.48%