World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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-
Ayase Ueda
13'
-
Ritsu Doan
19'
-
Thaer Krouma
21'
-
Yuki Soma
73'
-
Daichi Kamada
79'
-
Takumi Minamino
85'
-
Abdul Rahman Oues
72'
-
Ezequiel Ham
78'
Japan vs Syria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Syria had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result
Japan
67%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
18.89%
▼
(-0.03)
Syria
14.1%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
52.99%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.16%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
39.84%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
37.8%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
62.19%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
20.4%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
79.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
89.01%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
10.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
64.74%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
35.25%
▼
(-0.04)
Syria Goals
Over 0.5
59.53%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
40.47%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
22.92%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
77.08%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Japan
67%
Draw
18.89%
Syria
14.1%
Japan
2-0
@
10.84%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 67%
1-0 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 67%
Draw
1-1
@
8.88%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 18.89%
0-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 18.89%
Syria
0-1
@
4.02%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 14.1%
1-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 14.1%