World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2024 at 11.14am UK

National Olympic Stadium

Japan
5 - 0
Syria

Ueda (13'), Doan (19'), Krouma (21' og.), Soma (73' pen.), Minamino (85')
Kamada (79')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Rahman Oues (72'), Ham (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Syria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Myanmar 0-5 Japan
Thursday, June 6 at 1.10pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Syria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: North Korea 1-0 Syria
Thursday, June 6 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Syria had a probability of 14.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Syria
67% ( 0.08)	18.89% ( -0.02)	14.1% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.99% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.16% (

-0.03)

39.84% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.8% (

-0.03)

62.19% (

0.03)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.01% (

0.01)

10.99% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.74% (

0.03)

35.25% (

-0.03)

Syria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.53% (

-0.11)

40.47% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.92% (

-0.1)

77.08% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Japan 67%

Syria 14.1%

Draw 18.89%

Japan	Draw	Syria
2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 4.16% Total : 67%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.89%	0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 14.1%