Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a North Korea win it was 1-0 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.