World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Nov 15, 2024 at 12pm UK

Indonesia
0 - 4
Japan

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hubner (35' og.), Minamino (40'), Morita (49'), Sugawara (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Indonesia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions

Last Game: China 2-1 Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Indonesia vs. Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 1-1 Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: China vs. Japan
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 9.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.61%) and 0-3 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Japan
9.18% ( -0.19)	16.56% ( -0.27)	74.25% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 44.34% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.51% (

0.66)

42.48% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.11% (

0.66)

64.89% (

-0.66)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.2% (

0.04)

50.8% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.79% (

0.02)

85.2% (

-0.03)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.12% (

0.28)

9.87% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.26% (

0.66)

32.73% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Indonesia 9.18%

Japan 74.24%

Draw 16.56%

Indonesia	Draw	Japan
1-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 9.18%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 16.56%	0-2 @ 13.44% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 10.37% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.03% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 6.01% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 4.07% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 2.78% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.12% Total : 74.24%