World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 10am UK

Stadion Wibawa Mukti

Indonesia
0 - 2
Iraq

Tjoe-A-On (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hussein (54' pen.), Jasim (88')
Ali (6')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Indonesia and Iraq.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Tanzania
Sunday, June 2 at 10am in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Iraq

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Philippines 0-5 Iraq
Tuesday, March 26 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Iraq
21.7% ( 2.59)	25.5% ( 1.15)	52.8% ( -3.73)

Both teams to score 46.74% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.43% (

-1.39)

55.57% (

1.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.26% (

-1.14)

76.74% (

1.15)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.22% (

1.99)

40.78% (

-1.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.64% (

1.74)

77.36% (

-1.73)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

-2.03)

21.08% (

2.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.1% (

-3.26)

53.9% (

3.27)

Score Analysis

Indonesia 21.7%

Iraq 52.79%

Draw 25.5%

Indonesia	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.7%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.78) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.46) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.29) Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.79%