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World Cup

Indonesia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno
Vietnam national football team

Indonesia
1 - 0
Vietnam

Maulana (52')
Jenner (42'), Hubner (55'), Sulaeman (83'), Walsh (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Toan Nguyen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Indonesia and Vietnam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Australia 4-0 Indonesia
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Vietnam

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iraq 3-2 Vietnam
Wednesday, January 24 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.

Result
IndonesiaDrawVietnam
42.91% (0.477 0.48)24.71% (0.047000000000001 0.05)32.38% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 57.81% (-0.354 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.83% (-0.379 -0.38)45.17% (0.379 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (-0.363 -0.36)67.51% (0.36399999999999 0.36)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (0.060000000000002 0.06)21.11% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (0.093000000000004 0.09)53.94% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Vietnam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (-0.504 -0.5)26.72% (0.505 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02% (-0.671 -0.67)61.98% (0.673 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Indonesia 42.91%
    Vietnam 32.38%
    Draw 24.7%
IndonesiaDrawVietnam
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.157 0.16)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.38%

How you voted: Indonesia vs Vietnam

Indonesia
48.8%
Draw
18.6%
Vietnam
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2024 2.30pm
Group Stage
Vietnam
0-1
Indonesia

Thanh Long Le (83')
Thanh Long Le (90+1')
Mangkualam (42' pen.)
Arhan (80'), Sayuri (90+10')
> Preview
Jun 7, 2021 5.45pm
Second Round
Vietnam
4-0
Indonesia
Linh Nguyen (51'), Hai Nguyen (62'), Phuong Nguyen (67'), Thanh Vu (74')
Hai Nguyen (20'), Chung Nguyen (87')

Satriya (15'), Irianto (18'), Argawinata (51'), Arhan (60'), Maulana (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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