World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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-
Ivar Jenner
42'
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Egy Maulana
52'
-
Justin Hubner
55'
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Witan Sulaeman
83'
-
Sandy Walsh
89'
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Van Toan Nguyen
87'
Indonesia vs Vietnam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.
Result
Indonesia
42.91%
▲
(+0.48)
Draw
24.71%
▲
(+0.05)
Vietnam
32.38%
▼
(-0.53)
Both Teams to Score:
57.81%
▼
(-0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.83%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 2.5
45.17%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 3.5
32.48%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 3.5
67.51%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 4.5
16.42%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 4.5
83.58%
▲
(+0.27)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5
78.89%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
21.11%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
46.05%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
53.94%
▼
(-0.10)
Vietnam Goals
Over 0.5
73.28%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 0.5
26.72%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 1.5
38.02%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 1.5
61.98%
▲
(+0.68)
Score analysis
Indonesia
42.91%
Draw
24.7%
Vietnam
32.38%
Indonesia
2-1
@
9.01%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.91%
1-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.91%
Draw
1-1
@
11.57%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
2-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
Vietnam
1-2
@
7.64%
▼
(-0.09)
0-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.38%
0-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.38%
Head to Head
-
Quang Hai Nguyen
20'
-
Tien Linh Nguyen
51'
-
Quang Hai Nguyen
62'
-
Cong Phuong Nguyen
67'
-
Van Thanh Vu
74'
-
Thanh Chung Nguyen
87'
-
Arif Satriya
15'
-
Rachmat Irianto
18'
-
Nadeo Argawinata
51'
-
Pratama Arhan
60'
-
Egy Maulana
90'+2'