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World Cup

Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Indonesia national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 1
Indonesia

Al-Juwayr (45+3')
Al-Ghanam (85'), Kanoo (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oratmangoen (19')
Verdonk (23'), Ferarri (83'), Paes (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Jordan
Tuesday, June 11 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Indonesia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Indonesia 2-0 Philippines
Tuesday, June 11 at 1.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawIndonesia
59.26% (1.834 1.83)22.35% (-0.43 -0.43)18.4% (-1.403 -1.4)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-1.04 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)47.23% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.162 -0.16)69.46% (0.163 0.16)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (0.559 0.56)15.57% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.47% (1.03 1.03)44.53% (-1.028 -1.03)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48% (-1.643 -1.64)39.52% (1.644 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (-1.561 -1.56)76.21% (1.561 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 59.25%
    Indonesia 18.4%
    Draw 22.34%
Saudi ArabiaDrawIndonesia
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.413 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.121 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.246 0.25)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.112 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 59.25%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.4%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Indonesia

Saudi Arabia
81.8%
Draw
6.8%
Indonesia
11.4%
44