World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze

Tajikistan
1 - 1
Saudi Arabia

Soirov (80')
Dzhalilov (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Albirakan (46')
Al-Owais (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Tajikistan and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Tajikistan
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Tajikistan
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Tajikistan	Draw	Saudi Arabia
20.37% ( -0.06)	26.52% ( 0.03)	53.11% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 42.43% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.66% (

-0.14)

60.34% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.5% (

-0.11)

80.5% (

0.1)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.05% (

-0.15)

44.95% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.1% (

-0.12)

80.9% (

0.12)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.07% (

-0.05)

22.93% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.29% (

-0.07)

56.71% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Tajikistan 20.37%

Saudi Arabia 53.1%

Draw 26.51%

Tajikistan	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.37%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 15.18% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.1%