World Cup Qualifying - Asia
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ftajlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fsaulog.png)
-
Rustam Soirov
80'
-
Alisher Dzhalilov
82'
-
Firas Albirakan
46'
-
Mohammed Al-Owais
74'
Tajikistan vs Saudi Arabia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F12%2Froberto-mancini.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result
Tajikistan
20.37%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
26.52%
▲
(+0.03)
Saudi Arabia
53.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
42.43%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.66%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
60.34%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
19.5%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
80.5%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
8.05%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
91.95%
▲
(+0.07)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5
55.05%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
44.95%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
19.1%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
80.9%
▲
(+0.12)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5
77.07%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
22.93%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
43.29%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
56.71%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Tajikistan
20.37%
Draw
26.51%
Saudi Arabia
53.1%
Tajikistan
1-0
@
8.24%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 20.37%
2-1 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 20.37%
Draw
1-1
@
12.13%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.51%
0-0 @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.51%
Saudi Arabia
0-1
@
15.18%
▲
(+0.07)
0-2 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 53.1%
0-2 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 53.1%
Head to Head
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
-
Salem Al-Dawsari
23'
-
Nasser Al-Dawsari
77'
-
Ali Albulayhi
90'
-
Zoir Jurabaev
28'