World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 21, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Fahd International Stadium
  • Salem Al-Dawsari 23' goal
  • Nasser Al-Dawsari 77' yellowcard
  • Ali Albulayhi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zoir Jurabaev 28'

Saudi Arabia vs Tajikistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 4.00pm
Jordan 0 - 2 Saudi Arabia

Tajikistan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 9.00am
Pakistan 1 - 6 Tajikistan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.

Result

Saudi Arabia 44.36% (-0.06)
Draw 27.8% (-0.01)
Tajikistan 27.84% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.97% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.6% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 59.4% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 20.22% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 79.78% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 8.47% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 91.53% (-0.02)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 73.35% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.66% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.1% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.9% (+0.01)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5 62.68% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 37.32% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 25.9% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.11% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Saudi Arabia 44.36%
Draw 27.8%
Tajikistan 27.84%
Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 13.15% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 44.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.95% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.8%
Tajikistan
0-1 @ 9.81% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.39% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.83% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.84%