World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 7pm UK

King Fahd International Stadium

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Tajikistan

Al-Dawsari (23')
Al-Dawsari (77'), Albulayhi (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jurabaev (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Tajikistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 South Korea (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 30 at 4pm in Asian Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

Tajikistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 Jordan
Friday, February 2 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Tajikistan
44.36% ( -0.05)	27.8% ( -0)	27.84% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 45.97% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.6% (

0.05)

59.4% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.22% (

0.04)

79.78% (

-0.03)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

-0)

26.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

-0)

61.9% (

0.01)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.68% (

0.08)

37.32% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.9% (

0.07)

74.11% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 44.36%

Tajikistan 27.84%

Draw 27.8%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Tajikistan
1-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.95% Total : 44.36%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.84%