World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Jun 11, 2024 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Wibawa Mukti
  • Thom Haye 32' goal
  • Rizky Ridho 56' goal
  • Justin Hubner 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Baldisimo 53'
  • yellowcard Neil Etheridge 88'
  • yellowcard Amani Aguinaldo 90'+8'

Indonesia vs Philippines - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Jun 6, 2024 10.00am
Indonesia 0 - 2 Iraq

Philippines

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Jun 6, 2024 1.00pm
Vietnam 3 - 2 Philippines

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Philippines win was 0-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.

Result

Indonesia 52.91% (+0.01)
Draw 23.37% (-0.01)
Philippines 23.71% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.98% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 45.01% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 32.63% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 67.36% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.53% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.47% (+0.01)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5 83.01% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 16.98% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 52.9% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.1% (-0.01)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5 67.02% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.98% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.43% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.56% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Indonesia 52.91%
Draw 23.37%
Philippines 23.71%
Indonesia
1-0 @ 9.93% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.77%
3-0 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 52.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.37%
Philippines
0-1 @ 6.21%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 23.71%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Nov 21, 2023 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rizal Memorial Stadium
  • Patrick Reichelt 23' goal
  • Neil Etheridge 34' yellowcard
  • Kevin Ingreso 52' yellowcard
  • Kevin Ingreso 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saddil Ramdani 34'
  • goal Saddil Ramdani 70'
  • yellowcard Rafael Struick 83'
  • yellowcard Daisuke Sato 85'