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World Cup

Indonesia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Wibawa Mukti
Philippines national football team

Indonesia
2 - 0
Philippines

Haye (32'), Ridho (56')
Hubner (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baldisimo (53'), Etheridge (88'), Aguinaldo (90+8')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Indonesia and Philippines.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Indonesia 0-2 Iraq
Thursday, June 6 at 10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Philippines

Last Game: Vietnam 3-2 Philippines
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Philippines win was 0-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.

Result
IndonesiaDrawPhilippines
52.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)23.37% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)23.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)45.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)67.36% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)47.1% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Philippines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)32.98% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)69.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Indonesia 52.91%
    Philippines 23.71%
    Draw 23.37%
IndonesiaDrawPhilippines
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.77%
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 52.91%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.21%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 23.71%

How you voted: Indonesia vs Philippines

Indonesia
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Philippines
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 11am
Second Round
Philippines
1-1
Indonesia
Reichelt (23')
Etheridge (34'), Ingreso (52'), Ingreso (53')
Ramdani (70')
Ramdani (34'), Struick (83'), Sato (85')
rhs 2.0
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