World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 10, 2024 at 1pm UK

Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno

Indonesia
0 - 0
Australia

Hubner (57')

Goodwin (10'), Baccus (44'), Silvera (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Indonesia and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Indonesia
Thursday, September 5 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Australia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Australia 0-1 Bahrain
Thursday, September 5 at 11.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Australia
17.24% ( -6.82)	20.99% ( -3.79)	61.76% ( 10.61)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.77% (

7.4)

43.22% (

-7.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.37% (

6.91)

65.62% (

-6.91)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.51% (

-2.75)

38.49% (

2.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.76% (

-2.72)

75.24% (

2.72)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53% (

6.32)

13.46% (

-6.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.53% (

11.38)

40.46% (

-11.38)

Score Analysis

Indonesia 17.24%

Australia 61.75%

Draw 20.99%

Indonesia	Draw	Australia
1-0 @ 4.95% ( -2.33) 2-1 @ 4.74% ( -1.33) 2-0 @ 2.36% ( -1.38) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.57) Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.24%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -1.86) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -1.89) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.99%	0-2 @ 10.41% ( 1.13) 0-1 @ 10.39% ( -1.06) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 6.96% ( 1.95) 1-3 @ 6.65% ( 1.49) 0-4 @ 3.49% ( 1.46) 1-4 @ 3.33% ( 1.24) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.52) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.52) 0-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.74) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.66) Other @ 3.07% Total : 61.75%