World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 15, 2024 at 1pm UK

Guangxi Sports Center

China
2 - 1
Indonesia

Behram (21'), Yuning (44')
Wenneng (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Haye (86')
Jenner (40'), Idzes (99')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions

Last Game: Australia 3-1 China
Thursday, October 10 at 10.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Bahrain vs. China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Indonesia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Indonesia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Indonesia vs. Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a China win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Indonesia has a probability of 28.72% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Indonesia win is 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result
China	Draw	Indonesia
45.64% ( -2.25)	25.64% ( 0.75)	28.72% ( 1.5)

Both teams to score 52.84% (

-1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.19% (

-2.21)

50.81% (

2.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

-1.98)

72.7% (

1.97)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

-1.9)

22.23% (

1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

-2.94)

55.66% (

2.94)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

-0.01)

32.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

-0.02)

68.52% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

China 45.64%

Indonesia 28.72%

Draw 25.63%

China	Draw	Indonesia
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.64%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.72%