World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Sep 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Beijing National Stadium
  • Li Yuanyi 9' yellowcard
  • Ali Alawjami 14' goal
  • Abuduwaili Baihelamu 36' yellowcard
  • Xie Wenneng 45'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ali Alawjami 6'
  • redcard Mohammed Kanoo 19'
  • goal Hasan Kadesh 39'
  • yellowcard Abdulelah Al-Malki 45'
  • yellowcard Saud Abdul Hamid 59'
  • goal Hasan Kadesh 90'

China vs Saudi Arabia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Sep 5, 2024 11.35am
Japan 7 - 0 China

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Sep 5, 2024 7.00pm
Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Indonesia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for China had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result

China 19.69% (+0.04)
Draw 23.02% (+0.17)
Saudi Arabia 57.28% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.18% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.79% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 48.2% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 29.64% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 70.36% (+0.62)
Over 4.5 14.42% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 85.57% (+0.43)

China Goals

Over 0.5 61.35% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 38.65% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 24.6% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 75.39% (+0.34)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 83.42% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 16.58% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 53.62% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 46.37% (+0.56)

Score analysis

China 19.69%
Draw 23.01%
Saudi Arabia 57.27%
China
1-0 @ 6.09% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 19.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.01%
Saudi Arabia
0-1 @ 11.51% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 10.34% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 6.2% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.78% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 57.27%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 24, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hao Junmin 24' yellowcard
  • Chenjie Zhu 39' yellowcard
  • Chenjie Zhu 82' goal
  • Yu Dabao 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Saleh Al-Shehri 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Abdulelah Al Amri 60'
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 12, 2021 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sami Al Naji 15' goal
  • Sami Al Naji 38' goal
  • Firas Albirakan 72' goal
  • Abdulelah Al-Malki 87' yellowcard
  • goal L. Guofu 46'
  • goal Wu Xi 87'
  • yellowcard Tie Li 87'