World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 10, 2024 at 1pm UK

Beijing National Stadium

China
1 - 2
Saudi Arabia

Alawjami (14' og.)
Yuanyi (9'), Baihelamu (36'), Wenneng (45+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kadesh (39', 90')
Alawjami (6'), Al-Malki (45'), Abdul Hamid (59')
Kanoo (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Japan 7-0 China
Thursday, September 5 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Indonesia
Thursday, September 5 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for China had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
China	Draw	Saudi Arabia
19.69% ( 0.03)	23.02% ( 0.17)	57.28% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.79% (

-0.67)

48.2% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.64% (

-0.62)

70.36% (

0.61)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.35% (

-0.35)

38.65% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.6% (

-0.34)

75.39% (

0.33)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42% (

-0.31)

16.58% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.62% (

-0.56)

46.37% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

China 19.69%

Saudi Arabia 57.27%

Draw 23.01%

China	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 19.69%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.01%	0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.34% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 57.27%