World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī

Bahrain
2 - 2
Indonesia

Marhoon (15', 90+9')
Haram (11')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Oratmangoen (45+3'), Struick (74')
Oratmangoen (76'), Ferdinan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Bahrain and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Indonesia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Australia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: China vs. Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bahrain	Draw	Indonesia
47.97% ( 2.23)	24.59% ( 0.01)	27.44% ( -2.24)

Both teams to score 55.3% (

-1.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.84% (

-1.38)

47.16% (

1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.6% (

-1.3)

69.4% (

1.3)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.27% (

0.38)

19.73% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.25% (

0.62)

51.75% (

-0.62)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.89% (

-2.32)

31.11% (

2.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.56% (

-2.8)

67.44% (

2.8)

Score Analysis

Bahrain 47.97%

Indonesia 27.44%

Draw 24.59%

Bahrain	Draw	Indonesia
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.64) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.97%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.44%