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World Cup

Bahrain national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī
Indonesia national football team

Bahrain
2 - 2
Indonesia

Marhoon (15', 90+9')
Haram (11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oratmangoen (45+3'), Struick (74')
Oratmangoen (76'), Ferdinan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Bahrain and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Indonesia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Australia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: China vs. Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
BahrainDrawIndonesia
47.97% (2.229 2.23)24.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)27.44% (-2.236 -2.24)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-1.592 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84% (-1.381 -1.38)47.16% (1.381 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (-1.298 -1.3)69.4% (1.297 1.3)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (0.384 0.38)19.73% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (0.622 0.62)51.75% (-0.621 -0.62)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-2.324 -2.32)31.11% (2.323 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (-2.801 -2.8)67.44% (2.801 2.8)
Score Analysis
    Bahrain 47.97%
    Indonesia 27.44%
    Draw 24.59%
BahrainDrawIndonesia
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.676 0.68)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.639 0.64)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.393 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.179 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.97%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.347 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.409 -0.41)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.345 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.235 -0.24)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.44%

How you voted: Bahrain vs Indonesia

Bahrain
30.2%
Draw
9.4%
Indonesia
60.4%
106