World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 10, 2024 10.10am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Adelaide Oval
  • Lewis Miller 45'+2' goal
  • Craig Goodwin 53' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 90'+2' goal
  • goal Xie Wenneng 20'
  • yellowcard Li Lei 36'
  • yellowcard Wang Shangyuan 66'

Australia vs China - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 1.00pm
Indonesia 0 - 0 Australia

China

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 1.00pm
China 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for China had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Australia 66.4% (-10.41)
Draw 20.07% (+5.01)
China 13.53% (+5.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.4% (+2.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.56% (-7.38)
Under 2.5 46.44% (+7.39)
Over 3.5 31.28% (-7.34)
Under 3.5 68.72% (+7.34)
Over 4.5 15.57% (-5.48)
Under 4.5 84.44% (+5.48)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 86.91% (-4.67)
Under 0.5 13.1% (+4.68)
Over 1.5 60.29% (-10.45)
Under 1.5 39.72% (+10.45)

China Goals

Over 0.5 54.54% (+5.44)
Under 0.5 45.46% (-5.44)
Over 1.5 18.7% (+3.98)
Under 1.5 81.3% (-3.97)

Score analysis

Australia 66.4%
Draw 20.07%
China 13.53%
Australia
2-0 @ 12.3% (-0.82)
1-0 @ 12.1% (+1.50)
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.84)
3-0 @ 8.34% (-2.49)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.74)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-2.46)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-1.18)
3-2 @ 2.59% (+0.13)
5-0 @ 1.72% (-1.59)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.88)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.21)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 66.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.54% (+2.38)
0-0 @ 5.95% (+1.67)
2-2 @ 3.82% (+0.83)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 20.07%
China
0-1 @ 4.69% (+1.80)
1-2 @ 3.76% (+1.35)
0-2 @ 1.85% (-95.95)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-66.40)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 13.53%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Nov 16, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Aloisio 41' yellowcard
  • Wu Lei 71' goal
  • Yuning Zhang 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mitchell Duke 38'
  • yellowcard Ajdin Hrustic 50'
  • yellowcard Milos Degenek 90'+5'
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Sep 2, 2021 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Awer Mabil 24' goal
  • Martin Boyle 26' goal
  • Mitchell Duke 70' goal
  • Ajdin Hrustic 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wang Shenchao 67'
  • yellowcard Yin Hongbo 71'