MX23RW : Thursday, February 13 22:23:20| >> :600:4579457:4579457:
Australia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 10.10am UK
Adelaide Oval
China national football team

Australia
vs.
China

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Australia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Japan vs. Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: China 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: China vs. Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Australia 2-0 China

Hoping to bring a new energy to the Australian ranks, Popovic should be able to inspire his troops to a maiden win of Group C on Thursday night. China were a tough match for Saudi Arabia on home soil, although we are expecting the Dragon Team to struggle at the Adelaide Oval in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for China had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
AustraliaDrawChina
66.4% (-10.403 -10.4) 20.07% (5.006 5.01) 13.53% (5.401 5.4)
Both teams to score 47.4% (2.434 2.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-7.378 -7.38)46.44% (7.382 7.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-7.335 -7.34)68.72% (7.34 7.34)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-4.666 -4.67)13.1% (4.6701 4.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.29% (-10.444 -10.44)39.72% (10.448 10.45)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.54% (5.439 5.44)45.46% (-5.433 -5.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.7% (3.974 3.97)81.3% (-3.97 -3.97)
Score Analysis
    Australia 66.4%
    China 13.53%
    Draw 20.07%
AustraliaDrawChina
2-0 @ 12.3% (-0.82 -0.82)
1-0 @ 12.1% (1.5 1.5)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.835 0.84)
3-0 @ 8.34% (-2.484 -2.48)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.737 -0.74)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-2.456 -2.46)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-1.18 -1.18)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.123 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.72% (-1.589 -1.59)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.879 -0.88)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 66.4%
1-1 @ 9.54% (2.376 2.38)
0-0 @ 5.95% (1.665 1.67)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.83 0.83)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 20.07%
0-1 @ 4.69% (1.797 1.8)
1-2 @ 3.76% (1.341 1.34)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.872 0.87)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.331 0.33)
1-3 @ 0.99% (0.443 0.44)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 13.53%

How you voted: Australia vs China

Australia
80.0%
Draw
13.7%
China
6.3%
95
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 3pm
Third Round
China
1-1
Australia
Lei (71' pen.)
Aloisio (41'), Zhang (90+4')
Duke (38')
Hrustic (50'), Degenek (90+5')
Sep 2, 2021 7pm
Third Round
Australia
3-0
China
Mabil (24'), Boyle (26'), Duke (70')
Hrustic (81')

Shenchao (67'), Hongbo (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24176158233557
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15Everton246992530-527
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!