Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for China had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.