World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 15, 2024 11.35am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Saitama Stadium 2002
  • Cameron Burgess 76' goal
  • goal Shogo Taniguchi 58' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jordan Bos 61'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 80'
  • yellowcard Craig Goodwin 89'
  • yellowcard Cameron Burgess 94'

Japan vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Oct 10, 2024 7.00pm
Saudi Arabia 0 - 2 Japan

Australia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Oct 10, 2024 10.10am
Australia 3 - 1 China

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Australia has a probability of 23.73% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Australia win is 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.48%).

Result

Japan 53.66% (-9.43)
Draw 22.61% (+3.09)
Australia 23.73% (+6.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.25% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.45% (-5.48)
Under 2.5 41.55% (+5.48)
Over 3.5 36.05% (-5.78)
Under 3.5 63.95% (+5.77)
Over 4.5 19.05% (-4.57)
Under 4.5 80.94% (+4.57)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 84.52% (-4.56)
Under 0.5 15.48% (+4.56)
Over 1.5 55.64% (-9.26)
Under 1.5 44.35% (+9.26)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 68.92% (+2.93)
Under 0.5 31.08% (-2.92)
Over 1.5 32.6% (+3.29)
Under 1.5 67.4% (-3.29)

Score analysis

Japan 53.66%
Draw 22.6%
Australia 23.73%
Japan
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.97% (+0.76)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.74)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-1.17)
3-0 @ 5.21% (-1.52)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.36)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-1.18)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-1.30)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.51)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.72)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 53.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% (+1.62)
2-2 @ 5.72% (+0.42)
0-0 @ 4.81% (+1.10)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.6%
Australia
1-2 @ 6.13% (+1.35)
0-1 @ 5.62% (+1.62)
0-2 @ 3.29% (+1.13)
1-3 @ 2.39% (+0.67)
2-3 @ 2.23% (+0.33)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-76.42)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 23.73%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 24, 2022 9.10am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Metcalfe 15' yellowcard
  • Gianni Stensness 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuto Nagatomo 10'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 89'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 90'+4'
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 12, 2021 11.14am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ao Tanaka 8' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 68' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 85' goal
  • yellowcard Aziz Behich 63'
  • goal Ajdin Hrustic 70'
  • yellowcard Harry Souttar 90'+3'