World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 15, 2024 at 11.35am UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

Japan
1 - 1
Australia

Burgess (76' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taniguchi (58' og.)
Bos (61'), Yazbek (80'), Goodwin (89'), Burgess (94')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-2 Japan
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Indonesia vs. Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Australia 3-1 China
Thursday, October 10 at 10.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Australia has a probability of 23.73% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Australia win is 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.48%).

Result
Japan	Draw	Australia
53.66% ( -9.43)	22.61% ( 3.09)	23.73% ( 6.34)

Both teams to score 58.25% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.45% (

-5.48)

41.55% (

5.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.05% (

-5.77)

63.95% (

5.77)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.52% (

-4.56)

15.48% (

4.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.64% (

-9.25)

44.35% (

9.25)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

2.92)

31.08% (

-2.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

3.28)

67.4% (

-3.28)

Score Analysis

Japan 53.66%

Australia 23.73%

Draw 22.6%

Japan	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.75) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.73) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -1.17) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( -1.51) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -1.18) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -1.29) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.51) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.72) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.74) Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.66%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 1.61) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 1.1) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.6%	1-2 @ 6.13% ( 1.34) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 1.62) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 1.12) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.67) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.5) Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.73%