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Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Japan national football team

Saudi Arabia
0 - 2
Japan


Abdulhamid (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kamada (14'), Ogawa (81')
Minamino (28'), Machida (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Last Game: China 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Japan vs. Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawJapan
21.69% (1.505 1.51)21.58% (-0.129 -0.13)56.72% (-1.369 -1.37)
Both teams to score 59.09% (2.826 2.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.8% (2.636 2.64)39.2% (-2.63 -2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.47% (2.707 2.71)61.53% (-2.701 -2.7)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (2.932 2.93)31.54% (-2.927 -2.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (3.25 3.25)67.93% (-3.244 -3.24)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31% (0.452 0.45)13.69% (-0.446 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.09% (0.885 0.88)40.91% (-0.879 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 21.69%
    Japan 56.72%
    Draw 21.58%
Saudi ArabiaDrawJapan
2-1 @ 5.72% (0.309 0.31)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-0 @ 2.87% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.278 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.308 0.31)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.393 0.39)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.554 -0.55)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.946 -0.95)
0-2 @ 8.54% (-0.788 -0.79)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.66% (-0.423 -0.42)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.318 0.32)
1-4 @ 3.25% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.81% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.185 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.051 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 56.72%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Japan

Saudi Arabia
14.1%
Draw
15.2%
Japan
70.7%
92
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 10.14am
Third Round
Japan
2-0
Saudi Arabia
Minamino (32'), Ito (50')
Itakura (21')

Albulayhi (4'), Babhir (74')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2021 6pm
Third Round
Saudi Arabia
1-0
Japan
Albirakan (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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