World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 10, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Saud Abdulhamid 70' yellowcard
  • goal Daichi Kamada 14'
  • yellowcard Takumi Minamino 28'
  • yellowcard Koki Machida 62'
  • goal Koki Ogawa 81'

Saudi Arabia vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 1.00pm
China 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 5.00pm
Bahrain 0 - 5 Japan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Saudi Arabia 21.69% (+1.51)
Draw 21.58% (-0.13)
Japan 56.72% (-1.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.09% (+2.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.8% (+2.64)
Under 2.5 39.2% (-2.63)
Over 3.5 38.47% (+2.71)
Under 3.5 61.53% (-2.71)
Over 4.5 20.92% (+2.09)
Under 4.5 79.08% (-2.08)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 68.46% (+2.94)
Under 0.5 31.54% (-2.93)
Over 1.5 32.06% (+3.25)
Under 1.5 67.93% (-3.25)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 86.31% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 13.69% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 59.09% (+0.89)
Under 1.5 40.91% (-0.88)

Score analysis

Saudi Arabia 21.69%
Draw 21.58%
Japan 56.72%
Saudi Arabia
2-1 @ 5.72% (+0.31)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 2.87% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 2.2% (+0.28)
3-2 @ 2.19% (+0.31)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-97.00)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 21.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 5.68% (+0.40)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.56)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.23)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.58%
Japan
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.95)
0-2 @ 8.54% (-0.79)
1-3 @ 6.53% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 5.66% (-0.43)
2-3 @ 3.77% (+0.32)
1-4 @ 3.25% (+0.08)
0-4 @ 2.81% (-0.17)
2-4 @ 1.87% (+0.19)
1-5 @ 1.29% (+0.06)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 56.72%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Feb 1, 2022 10.14am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ko Itakura 21' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 32' goal
  • Junya Ito 50' goal
  • yellowcard Ali Albulayhi 4'
  • yellowcard Hattan Babhir 74'
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 7, 2021 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Firas Albirakan 71' goal