World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 10, 2024 at 7pm UK

King Abdullah Sports City

Saudi Arabia
0 - 2
Japan

Abdulhamid (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kamada (14'), Ogawa (81')
Minamino (28'), Machida (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: China 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Japan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Japan vs. Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Japan
21.69% ( 1.51)	21.58% ( -0.13)	56.72% ( -1.37)

Both teams to score 59.09% (

2.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.8% (

2.64)

39.2% (

-2.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.47% (

2.71)

61.53% (

-2.7)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

2.93)

31.54% (

-2.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06% (

3.25)

67.93% (

-3.24)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.31% (

0.45)

13.69% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.09% (

0.88)

40.91% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 21.69%

Japan 56.72%

Draw 21.58%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Japan
2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.63% Total : 21.69%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.58%	1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.95) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.79) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.32) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.19) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.72%