MX23RW : Wednesday, May 14 06:15:48| >> :600:2305260:2305260:
Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Japan national football team

Saudi Arabia
vs.
Japan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: China 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Japan vs. Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Japan

With two wins apiece from their last four meetings, we are expecting a close battle between Saudi Arabia and Japan in Jeddah on Thursday night. That being said, Samurai Blue's winning run since their Asian Cup disappointment is hard to ignore, so we are backing the visitors for three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawJapan
21.69% (1.505 1.51) 21.58% (-0.129 -0.13) 56.72% (-1.369 -1.37)
Both teams to score 59.09% (2.826 2.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.8% (2.636 2.64)39.2% (-2.63 -2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.47% (2.707 2.71)61.53% (-2.701 -2.7)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (2.932 2.93)31.54% (-2.927 -2.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (3.25 3.25)67.93% (-3.244 -3.24)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31% (0.452 0.45)13.69% (-0.446 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.09% (0.885 0.88)40.91% (-0.879 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 21.69%
    Japan 56.72%
    Draw 21.58%
Saudi ArabiaDrawJapan
2-1 @ 5.72% (0.309 0.31)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-0 @ 2.87% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.278 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.308 0.31)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.393 0.39)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.554 -0.55)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.946 -0.95)
0-2 @ 8.54% (-0.788 -0.79)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.66% (-0.423 -0.42)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.318 0.32)
1-4 @ 3.25% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.81% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.185 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.051 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 56.72%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Japan

Saudi Arabia
14.1%
Draw
15.2%
Japan
70.7%
92
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 10.14am
Third Round
Japan
2-0
Saudi Arabia
Minamino (32'), Ito (50')
Itakura (21')

Albulayhi (4'), Babhir (74')
Oct 7, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal361814466333368
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle362061068452366
4Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
5Chelsea36189962431963
6Aston Villa3618995649763
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest361881056441262
8Brentford361671363531055
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Bournemouth3614111155431253
11Fulham36149135150151
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton36915123944-542
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham361010164259-1740
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd36109174253-1139
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs36115206359438
RIpswich TownIpswich36410223577-4222
RLeicester CityLeicester3657243178-4722
RSouthampton3626282582-5712


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!