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World Cup
Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 6.15pm UK
 
China national football team

Saudi Arabia
vs.
China

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Oman 2-1 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Next Game: Japan vs. Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

China

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: China vs. Australia
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Saudi Arabia 2-0 China

 With home advantage on their side in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia should make their superior quality count on Thursday and strengthen their claim for a top-two spot with a victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for China had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawChina
64.9% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 20.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 14.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.33% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.33% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)47.67% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.13% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)69.86% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)13.92% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.62% (-0.055 -0.05)41.38% (0.052 0.05)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.99% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)45.01% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)80.94% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 64.89%
    China 14.34%
    Draw 20.76%
Saudi ArabiaDrawChina
1-0 @ 12.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 64.89%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 20.76%
0-1 @ 5% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 2%
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 14.34%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs China

Saudi Arabia
57.9%
Draw
15.8%
China
26.3%
38
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 1pm
Third Round
China
1-2
Saudi Arabia
Alawjami (14' og.)
Yuanyi (9'), Baihelamu (36'), Wenneng (45+7')
Kadesh (39', 90')
Alawjami (6'), Al-Malki (45'), Abdul Hamid (59')
Kanoo (19')
> Preview
Mar 24, 2022 3pm
Third Round
China
1-1
Saudi Arabia
Zhu (82' pen.)
Junmin (24'), Zhu (39'), Dabao (90+1')
Al-Shehri (45+1')
Al Amri (60')
> Preview
Oct 12, 2021 6pm
Third Round
Saudi Arabia
3-2
China
Al Naji (15', 38'), Albirakan (72')
Al-Malki (87')
Guofu (46'), Xi (87')
Li (87')
> Preview
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