World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Nov 14, 2024 at 12am UK

Australia
0 - 0
Saudi Arabia

McGree (65'), Geria (90')

Al Kassar (16'), Al Bulayhi (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 1-1 Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Bahrain vs. Australia
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Indonesia vs. Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Australia had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	Saudi Arabia
36.28% ( -0.19)	26.22% ( 0.05)	37.49% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 53.47% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.86% (

-0.23)

51.14% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.01% (

-0.21)

72.98% (

0.2)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.22)

27.22% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36% (

-0.29)

62.64% (

0.29)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

-0.03)

26.52% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

-0.04)

61.72% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Australia 36.28%

Saudi Arabia 37.49%

Draw 26.21%

Australia	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.28%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.49%