Gulf Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 22, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium

Saudi Arabia
2 - 3
Bahrain

Al-Juwayr (73'), Al-Shehri (86' pen.)
Al-Malki (36')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Abd Al Jabar (19'), Al-Humaidan (38'), Marhoon (76')

Coverage of the Gulf Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Saudi Arabia and Bahrain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 3-1 Trin. & Tob.
Tuesday, December 17 at 1.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Bahrain

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Bahrain
53.72% ( 0.6)	26.37% ( -0.14)	19.92% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 42.23% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.74% (

-0.01)

60.26% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.56% (

-0.01)

80.44% (

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.37% (

0.26)

22.63% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.74% (

0.38)

56.26% (

-0.39)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.59% (

-0.53)

45.41% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.74% (

-0.42)

81.26% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 53.71%

Bahrain 19.92%

Draw 26.35%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Bahrain
1-0 @ 15.27% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 53.71%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.92%