Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.