Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for China had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.