Gulf Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium

Iraq
1 - 3
Saudi Arabia

Ali (64')
Saadoun (21'), Farji (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Al-Dawsari (57' pen.), Al Hamdan (81', 86')
Boushal (39'), Radif (53'), Al-Dawsari (63')

Coverage of the Gulf Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Iraq and Saudi Arabia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Bahrain 2-0 Iraq
Wednesday, December 25 at 5.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Iraq	0	0	0
3	Jordan	0	0	0
4	Oman	0	0	0
5	Kuwait	0	0	0
6	Palestine	0	0	0

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Yemen 2-3 Saudi Arabia
Wednesday, December 25 at 2.25pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Saudi Arabia
35.39% ( -0.45)	26.49% ( 0.13)	38.11% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 52.51% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.67% (

-0.57)

52.33% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.98% (

-0.49)

74.02% (

0.48)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.67% (

-0.54)

28.33% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.94% (

-0.69)

64.06% (

0.69)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26% (

-0.08)

26.73% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

-0.11)

62% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Iraq 35.39%

Saudi Arabia 38.11%

Draw 26.49%

Iraq	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.39%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.11%