Iraq vs Saudi Arabia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.