Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 72.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.69%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Yemen win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.