Iraq national football team
Gulf Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 22, 2024 at 2.25pm UK
Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium
Yemen national football team

Iraq
1 - 0
Yemen

Hussein (64')
Hussein (51'), Gwargis (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Al Dahi (38'), Al Wasmani (88')
Coverage of the Gulf Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Iraq and Yemen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions
Last Game: Iraq 0-0 Jordan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Yemen

Last Game: Oman 1-0 Yemen
Monday, December 16 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 72.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 8.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.69%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Yemen win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.

Result
IraqDrawYemen
72.14% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)18.93% (0.013999999999999 0.01)8.93% (0.0068999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 36.2% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)53.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-0.032 -0.03)74.72% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)13.44% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)40.42% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Yemen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.18% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0)89.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 72.12%
    Yemen 8.93%
    Draw 18.93%
IraqDrawYemen
2-0 @ 15.74%
1-0 @ 15.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 72.12%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.93%
0-1 @ 4.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 8.93%