World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 10, 2024 at 7pm UK

Mubarak International Stadium

Iraq
1 - 0
Palestine

Hussein (31')
Hadi (1'), Majid Al Ani (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mahajna (12'), Termanini (45'), Hamed (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Palestine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions

Last Game: Kuwait 0-0 Iraq
Tuesday, September 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: South Korea vs. Iraq
Tuesday, October 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Iraq	0	0	0
3	Jordan	0	0	0
4	Oman	0	0	0
5	Kuwait	0	0	0
6	Palestine	0	0	0

Palestine

All competitions

Last Game: Palestine 1-3 Jordan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Palestine vs. Kuwait
Tuesday, October 15 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Iraq	0	0	0
3	Jordan	0	0	0
4	Oman	0	0	0
5	Kuwait	0	0	0
6	Palestine	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Palestine
54.39% ( -9.33)	25.37% ( 2.94)	20.24% ( 6.39)

Both teams to score 45.21% (

3.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.43% (

-1.5)

56.57% (

1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.45% (

-1.22)

77.55% (

1.22)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

-4.06)

20.83% (

4.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.5% (

-6.79)

53.5% (

6.78)

Palestine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.11% (

7.37)

42.89% (

-7.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.8% (

5.64)

79.2% (

-5.65)

Score Analysis

Iraq 54.38%

Palestine 20.24%

Draw 25.36%

Iraq	Draw	Palestine
1-0 @ 14.01% ( -1.04) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( -2.44) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -2.25) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.63) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -1.31) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.55) Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.38%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 1.51) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.76) Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.56% ( 1.76) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 1.46) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 1.21) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.6) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.38) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.45) Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.24%