Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Oman had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Oman win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iraq in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iraq.