World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK

Basra Sport City Stadium

Iraq
1 - 0
Oman

Hussein (13')
Al-Ammari (90+5'), Al-Ammari (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Al Alawi (90+5')
Al Alawi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Oman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iraq 3-1 Vietnam
Tuesday, June 11 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Oman

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Oman 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Oman had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Oman win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iraq in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iraq.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Oman
37.9% ( 0.06)	27.65% ( 0.01)	34.45% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 48.76% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.99% (

-0.06)

57.01% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.09% (

-0.05)

77.9% (

0.05)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

0.01)

29.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99% (

0.01)

65.01% (

-0.02)

Oman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76% (

-0.09)

31.23% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.42% (

-0.1)

67.58% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Iraq 37.89%

Oman 34.45%

Draw 27.65%

Iraq	Draw	Oman
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.89%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.45%