Iraq national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mubarak International Stadium
Vietnam national football team

Iraq
3 - 1
Vietnam

Ali (12'), Jasim (71'), Hussein (90+2')
Amyn (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hai Pham (84')
Nguyen (17')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Iraq and Vietnam.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Indonesia 0-2 Iraq
Thursday, June 6 at 10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Vietnam 3-2 Philippines
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Vietnam win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.

Result
IraqDrawVietnam
53.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)24.64% (0.0010000000000012 0)22.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 49.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)51.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42%73.58%
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55%19.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71%51.29%
Vietnam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 53.17%
    Vietnam 22.18%
    Draw 24.63%
IraqDrawVietnam
1-0 @ 12.15%
2-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.59%
3-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 53.17%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.15%
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 22.18%

How you voted: Iraq vs Vietnam

Iraq
76.5%
Draw
5.9%
Vietnam
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2024 11.30am
Group Stage
Iraq
3-2
Vietnam
Sulaka (47'), Hussein (73', 90+12' pen.)
Madjed (51')
Anh Bui Hoang (42'), Hai Nguyen (90+1')
Khang Khuat (6'), Son Nguyen (45+4'), Anh Bui Hoang (82')
Khang Khuat (45+4')
Nov 21, 2023 12pm
Second Round
Vietnam
0-1
Iraq

Anh Nguyen (48'), Vo Minh (54'), Van Lam (88'), Son Nguyen (89'), Bac Nguyen (90+6')
Ali (90+7')
Ali (90+8')
Mar 25, 2020 11pm
International Friendlies
Vietnam
P-P
Iraq
Mar 25, 2020 11pm
Friendlies 3
Vietnam
P-P
Iraq