Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.68%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.